MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 28, 2026
Portrait of Casey Mize
Casey Mize
SD · P
Change to
Portrait of Nathan Eovaldi
Nathan Eovaldi
TEX · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

Casey Mize wins 1 (ERA); Nathan Eovaldi wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Casey Mize
93.3
Nathan Eovaldi
94.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Casey Mize
11.0%
Nathan Eovaldi
15.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Casey Mize
20.0%
Nathan Eovaldi
23.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Casey Mize
29.4%
Nathan Eovaldi
36.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Casey Mize
39.4%
Nathan Eovaldi
41.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Casey Mize
8.3%
Nathan Eovaldi
8.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Casey Mize
.303
Nathan Eovaldi
.318
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Casey Mize
25.01
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.27
3.87
Nathan Eovaldi
25.01
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.93
4.23
WHIPlower is better
Casey Mize
.9001.42
now 0.97
1.29
Nathan Eovaldi
.9001.42
now 1.11
1.22

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Casey Mize
4093.80
now 49
0
Nathan Eovaldi
4093.80
now 67
0
Winshigher is better
Casey Mize
.0007
now 2
0–0
Nathan Eovaldi
.0007
now 5
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans buyCasey Mize — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · leans sellNathan Eovaldi — hold.conf 0.60
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