Rest of Season Projection
JustinCategoryNathan
79K →105
3.84ERA ←4.18
1.28WHIP →1.19
8–17W ←5–11
0SV0
Current Season
JustinCategoryNathan
40K →67
2.87ERA ←3.93
1.01WHIP ←1.11
7W ←5
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Justin Wrobleski
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.237 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.84 is 0.97 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Nathan Eovaldi
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (4.23)
Justin Wrobleski: 79 K / 3.84 ERA. Nathan Eovaldi: 105 K / 4.18 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).