Rest of Season Projection
CamCategoryLucas
114K ←45
2.75ERA ←4.10
1.05WHIP ←1.30
6–14W7–15
0SV0
Current Season
CamCategoryLucas
81K ←6
1.50ERA ←4.97
0.85WHIP ←1.74
7W ←2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cam Schlittler
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.256 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.75 is 0.88 above the ERA — regression coming
Lucas Giolito
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.254 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.96 is 0.60 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Cam Schlittler: 117 K / 2.74 ERA. Lucas Giolito: 46 K / 4.10 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).