Rest of Season Projection
CamCategoryPatrick
114K ←73
2.75ERA ←5.09
1.05WHIP ←1.41
6–14W ←2–5
0SV0
Current Season
CamCategoryPatrick
81K ←36
1.50ERA ←3.65
0.85WHIP ←1.36
7W ←2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cam Schlittler
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.256 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.75 is 0.88 above the ERA — regression coming
Patrick Corbin
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.62 +1.52 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Cam Schlittler: 117 K / 2.74 ERA. Patrick Corbin: 75 K / 5.07 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).