Rest of Season Projection
CamCategoryPayton
114K ←101
2.75ERA →2.48
1.05WHIP ←1.21
6–14W ←3–6
0SV0
Current Season
CamCategoryPayton
81K ←46
1.50ERA ←2.61
0.85WHIP ←0.90
7W ←2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cam Schlittler
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.256 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.75 is 0.88 above the ERA — regression coming
Payton Tolle
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 2.48, 1.62 below league — production is earned
Cam Schlittler: 117 K / 2.74 ERA. Payton Tolle: 104 K / 2.47 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).