MLB Daily DeltaWeek 12 · June 13, 2026
Engraved portrait of Cam Schlittler
Cam Schlittler
NYY·P
Sell High high·0.95
Change to
Engraved portrait of Steven Matz
Steven Matz
TB·P
Sell high·0.90
Change to

Rest of Season Projection

CamCategorySteven
114K 74
2.75ERA 5.43
1.05WHIP 1.39
6–14W 5–11
0SV0

Current Season

CamCategorySteven
81K 35
1.50ERA 4.67
0.85WHIP 1.24
7W 4
0SV0

What Each Player's System Trusts

Cam Schlittler
  • babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.256 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
  • xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.75 is 0.88 above the ERA — regression coming
Steven Matz
  • xeraSIGNALstable xERA 6.15 +2.05 vs league with no luck excuse

Cam Schlittler: 117 K / 2.74 ERA. Steven Matz: 75 K / 5.24 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.

Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).

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