Rest of Season Projection
CamCategoryZac
114K ←83
2.75ERA ←5.02
1.05WHIP ←1.41
6–14W ←3–7
0SV0
Current Season
CamCategoryZac
81K ←42
1.50ERA ←5.16
0.85WHIP ←1.47
7W ←3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cam Schlittler
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.256 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.75 is 0.88 above the ERA — regression coming
Zac Gallen
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.51 +1.41 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Cam Schlittler: 117 K / 2.74 ERA. Zac Gallen: 86 K / 5.00 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).