MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 6, 2026
Portrait of Carlos Carrasco
Carlos Carrasco
ATL · P
Change to
Portrait of Gavin Collyer
Gavin Collyer
TEX · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Carlos Carrasco wins 1 (K); Gavin Collyer wins 1 (W); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Carlos Carrasco
91.9
Gavin Collyer
97.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Carlos Carrasco
9.9%
Gavin Collyer
8.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Carlos Carrasco
9.8%
Gavin Collyer
20.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Carlos Carrasco
43.2%
Gavin Collyer
21.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Carlos Carrasco
40.4%
Gavin Collyer
28.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Carlos Carrasco
7.7%
Gavin Collyer
2.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Carlos Carrasco
.382
Gavin Collyer
.323
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Carlos Carrasco
24.21
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.45
3.70
Gavin Collyer
24.21
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.71
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Carlos Carrasco
.9001.65
now 0.82
1.24
Gavin Collyer
.9001.65
now 1.41
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Carlos Carrasco
4043.20
now 4
32
Gavin Collyer
4043.20
now 15
22
Winshigher is better
Carlos Carrasco
.0002.80
now 0
00
Gavin Collyer
.0002.80
now 1
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCarlos Carrasco — hold.conf 0.50
Sell HighGavin Collyer — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.89
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