MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 6, 2026
Portrait of Carlos Carrasco
Carlos Carrasco
ATL · P
Change to
Portrait of Keaton Winn
Keaton Winn
SF · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Carlos Carrasco wins 1 (K); Keaton Winn wins 1 (W); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Carlos Carrasco
91.9
Keaton Winn
96.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Carlos Carrasco
9.9%
Keaton Winn
12.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Carlos Carrasco
9.8%
Keaton Winn
21.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Carlos Carrasco
43.2%
Keaton Winn
29.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Carlos Carrasco
40.4%
Keaton Winn
27.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Carlos Carrasco
7.7%
Keaton Winn
4.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Carlos Carrasco
.382
Keaton Winn
.289
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Carlos Carrasco
24.20
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.45
3.70
Keaton Winn
24.20
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.45
3.69
WHIPlower is better
Carlos Carrasco
.9001.41
now 0.82
1.24
Keaton Winn
.9001.41
now 0.90
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Carlos Carrasco
4043.20
now 4
32
Keaton Winn
4043.20
now 22
22
Winshigher is better
Carlos Carrasco
.0002.80
now 0
00
Keaton Winn
.0002.80
now 1
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCarlos Carrasco — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeKeaton Winn — hold.conf 0.50
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