MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 2, 2026
Portrait of Gavin Collyer
Gavin Collyer
TEX · P
Change to
Portrait of Keaton Winn
Keaton Winn
SF · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 00, 4 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Gavin Collyer wins 0 (none); Keaton Winn wins 0 (none); 4 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Gavin Collyer
97.4
Keaton Winn
96.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Gavin Collyer
8.9%
Keaton Winn
12.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Gavin Collyer
19.7%
Keaton Winn
21.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Gavin Collyer
21.4%
Keaton Winn
29.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Gavin Collyer
26.2%
Keaton Winn
27.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Gavin Collyer
2.4%
Keaton Winn
4.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Gavin Collyer
.327
Keaton Winn
.289
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Gavin Collyer
24.21
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.71
3.70
Keaton Winn
24.21
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.45
3.69
WHIPlower is better
Gavin Collyer
.9001.61
now 1.41
1.24
Keaton Winn
.9001.61
now 0.90
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Gavin Collyer
4028.60
now 15
23
Keaton Winn
4028.60
now 22
23
Winshigher is better
Gavin Collyer
.5202.48
now 1
12
Keaton Winn
.5202.48
now 1
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighGavin Collyer — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.85
Hold · wait & seeKeaton Winn — hold.conf 0.50
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