Rest of Season Projection
CarlosCategoryConnor
8HR ←5
33R ←27
7RBI →34
2SB →3
.225AVG →.228
Current Season
CarlosCategoryConnor
2HR ←0
14R ←8
3RBI →10
1SB1
.220AVG →.258
What Each Player's System Trusts
Carlos Narváez
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.291)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Connor Wong
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.347 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.286 is 0.038 below the surface — regression coming
Carlos Narváez: 8 HR / 33 R. Connor Wong: 5 HR / 27 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).