Rest of Season Projection
CarlosCategoryDrake
6HR →14
30R →57
6RBI →56
2SB ←1
.217AVG →.283
Current Season
CarlosCategoryDrake
2HR →13
14R →39
3RBI →38
1SB1
.220AVG →.303
What Each Player's System Trusts
Carlos Narváez
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.282)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Drake Baldwin
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.418, +0.103 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.333 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Carlos Narváez: 6 HR / 30 R. Drake Baldwin: 14 HR / 58 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).