Rest of Season Projection
CarlosCategoryHenry
8HR →9
33R ←27
7RBI →27
2SB2
.225AVG ←.201
Current Season
CarlosCategoryHenry
2HR →4
14R ←12
3RBI →12
1SB1
.220AVG ←.139
What Each Player's System Trusts
Carlos Narváez
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.291)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Henry Davis
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.140 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Carlos Narváez: 8 HR / 33 R. Henry Davis: 9 HR / 27 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).