MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Carmen Mlodzinski
Carmen Mlodzinski
PIT · P
Change to
Matt Waldron
WSH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Matt Waldron.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Carmen Mlodzinski’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

Matt Waldron wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Carmen Mlodzinski wins 0 (none); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
95.0
Matt Waldron
92.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
9.4%
Matt Waldron
8.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
17.5%
Matt Waldron
17.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
29.1%
Matt Waldron
31.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
46.3%
Matt Waldron
36.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
7.0%
Matt Waldron
5.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
.339
Matt Waldron
.291
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Carmen Mlodzinski
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.76
4.65
Matt Waldron
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.49
4.08
WHIPlower is better
Carmen Mlodzinski
1.141.87
now 1.42
1.39
Matt Waldron
1.141.87
now 1.71
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Carmen Mlodzinski
4064.40
now 46
0
Matt Waldron
4064.40
now 22
0
Winshigher is better
Carmen Mlodzinski
.0005.60
now 4
0–0
Matt Waldron
.0005.60
now 1
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellCarmen Mlodzinski — sell.conf 0.81
Buy LowMatt Waldron — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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