MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Carson Kelly
Carson Kelly
CHC · C
Change to
Harry Ford
WSH · C
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Harry Ford.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, runs, and RBI. Carson Kelly’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Harry Ford wins 3 categories (HR, R, RBI); Carson Kelly wins 1 (AVG); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Carson Kelly
87.3
Harry Ford
84.1
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Carson Kelly
36.9%
Harry Ford
33.3%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Carson Kelly
5.7%
Harry Ford
11.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Carson Kelly
24.6%
Harry Ford
18.0%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Carson Kelly
8.8%
Harry Ford
11.0%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Carson Kelly
.310
Harry Ford
.289
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Carson Kelly
.200.480
lg AVG .295
now .289
.238
Harry Ford
.200.480
lg AVG .295
now .400
.157

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Carson Kelly
53.20
now 2
0
Harry Ford
53.20
now 1
1
Runshigher is better
Carson Kelly
2028.20
now 18
4
Harry Ford
2028.20
now 3
21
RBIhigher is better
Carson Kelly
2028.20
now 17
4
Harry Ford
2028.20
now 3
21
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Carson Kelly
.0001.20
now 0
0
Harry Ford
.0001.20
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyCarson Kelly — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · wait & seeHarry Ford — hold.conf 0.50
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