Who's more valuable, rest of season
Rafael Flores Jr..
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, runs, RBI, and average. Carson Kelly’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
HR
▶
R
▶
RBI
▶
SB
AVG
▶
Rafael Flores Jr. wins 4 categories (HR, R, RBI, AVG); Carson Kelly wins 0 (none); 1 even.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgAvg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Carson Kelly
87.3
Rafael Flores Jr.
90.5
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Carson Kelly
36.9%
Rafael Flores Jr.
47.1%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Carson Kelly
5.7%
Rafael Flores Jr.
14.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Carson Kelly
24.6%
Rafael Flores Jr.
29.2%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Carson Kelly
8.8%
Rafael Flores Jr.
13.6%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Carson Kelly
.310
Rafael Flores Jr.
.350
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Carson Kelly
.200.480
lg AVG .295
now .289
.238
Rafael Flores Jr.
.200.480
lg AVG .295
now .667
.265
Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Carson Kelly
53.20
now 2
0
Rafael Flores Jr.
53.20
now 1
1
Runshigher is better
Carson Kelly
2024.40
now 18
4
Rafael Flores Jr.
2024.40
now 2
11
RBIhigher is better
Carson Kelly
2023
now 17
4
Rafael Flores Jr.
2023
now 2
11
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Carson Kelly
.0001.20
now 0
0
Rafael Flores Jr.
.0001.20
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyCarson Kelly — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · wait & seeRafael Flores Jr. — hold.conf 0.50