MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 27, 2026
Portrait of Carson Kelly
Carson Kelly
CHC · C
Change to
Portrait of Tyler Stephenson
Tyler Stephenson
CIN · C
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Carson Kelly.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — runs, RBI, and average.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Carson Kelly wins 3 categories (R, RBI, AVG); Tyler Stephenson wins 1 (HR); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Carson Kelly
88.0
Tyler Stephenson
90.9
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Carson Kelly
37.8%
Tyler Stephenson
45.9%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Carson Kelly
6.2%
Tyler Stephenson
11.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Carson Kelly
24.9%
Tyler Stephenson
21.7%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Carson Kelly
9.0%
Tyler Stephenson
11.7%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Carson Kelly
.323
Tyler Stephenson
.346
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Carson Kelly
.200.330
lg AVG .295
now .289
.243
Tyler Stephenson
.200.330
lg AVG .295
now .193
.241

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Carson Kelly
55.20
now 2
2
Tyler Stephenson
55.20
now 4
4
Runshigher is better
Carson Kelly
2021.20
now 18
17
Tyler Stephenson
2021.20
now 11
10
RBIhigher is better
Carson Kelly
2020.20
now 17
16
Tyler Stephenson
2020.20
now 17
15
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Carson Kelly
.0001.20
now 0
0
Tyler Stephenson
.0001.20
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans buyCarson Kelly — hold.conf 0.60
BuyTyler Stephenson — buy.conf 0.66
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