Rest of Season Projection
CarterCategoryJhonny
9HR ←4
34R ←28
38RBI ←6
0SB0
.187AVG →.301
Current Season
CarterCategoryJhonny
7HR ←1
23R ←5
26RBI ←1
0SB0
.223AVG →.235
What Each Player's System Trusts
Carter Jensen
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.270 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Jhonny Pereda
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.350)
Carter Jensen: 9 HR / 34 R. Jhonny Pereda: 4 HR / 28 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).