Rest of Season Projection
CaseyCategoryJonathan
28K →30
3.72ERA →3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
1–2W1–3
0SV0
Current Season
CaseyCategoryJonathan
16K16
3.70ERA ←4.67
1.44WHIP →1.15
1W1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Casey Legumina
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.26)
Jonathan Bowlan
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.57 sits 1.53 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.321 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Casey Legumina: 28 K / 3.72 ERA. Jonathan Bowlan: 30 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).