Rest of Season Projection
CaseyCategoryJacob
79K →148
3.73ERA →2.25
1.27WHIP →1.01
2–5W →5–12
0SV0
Current Season
CaseyCategoryJacob
49K →108
2.27ERA →1.65
0.97WHIP →0.79
2W →6
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Casey Mize
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.264 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.64 is 0.37 above the ERA — regression coming
Jacob Misiorowski
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.242 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.25 is 0.75 above the ERA — regression coming
Casey Mize: 80 K / 3.73 ERA. Jacob Misiorowski: 150 K / 2.25 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).