Rest of Season Projection
CaseyCategoryLogan
76K →93
3.74ERA ←4.07
1.27WHIP ←1.29
2–5W →4–9
0SV0
Current Season
CaseyCategoryLogan
49K ←30
2.27ERA ←2.74
0.97WHIP ←1.04
2W2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Casey Mize
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.264 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.66 is 0.39 above the ERA — regression coming
Logan Henderson
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.91)
Casey Mize: 76 K / 3.74 ERA. Logan Henderson: 93 K / 4.07 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).