MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 11, 2026
Portrait of Casey Mize
Casey Mize
SD · P
Change to
Logan Henderson
MIL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Logan Henderson.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, WHIP, and wins. Casey Mize’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Logan Henderson wins 4 categories (K, ERA, WHIP, W); Casey Mize wins 0 (none); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Casey Mize
93.4
Logan Henderson
93.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Casey Mize
11.7%
Logan Henderson
14.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Casey Mize
22.0%
Logan Henderson
30.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Casey Mize
29.3%
Logan Henderson
31.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Casey Mize
39.7%
Logan Henderson
37.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Casey Mize
8.3%
Logan Henderson
8.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Casey Mize
.289
Logan Henderson
.251
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Casey Mize
23.96
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.27
3.48
Logan Henderson
23.96
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.74
2.60
WHIPlower is better
Casey Mize
.9001.31
now 0.97
1.21
Logan Henderson
.9001.31
now 1.04
0.99

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Casey Mize
4064.20
now 49
11
Logan Henderson
4064.20
now 30
14
Winshigher is better
Casey Mize
.0002.80
now 2
01
Logan Henderson
.0002.80
now 2
11

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyCasey Mize — buy.conf 0.79
BuyLogan Henderson — buy.conf 0.92
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