MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 11, 2026
Portrait of Casey Mize
Casey Mize
SD · P
Change to
Nick Pivetta
SD · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Casey Mize wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); Nick Pivetta wins 2 (K, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Casey Mize
93.4
Nick Pivetta
94.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Casey Mize
11.7%
Nick Pivetta
10.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Casey Mize
22.0%
Nick Pivetta
31.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Casey Mize
29.3%
Nick Pivetta
37.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Casey Mize
39.7%
Nick Pivetta
33.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Casey Mize
8.3%
Nick Pivetta
7.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Casey Mize
.289
Nick Pivetta
.242
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Casey Mize
25.39
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.27
3.48
Nick Pivetta
25.39
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.50
4.10
WHIPlower is better
Casey Mize
.9001.43
now 0.97
1.21
Nick Pivetta
.9001.43
now 1.13
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Casey Mize
4064.20
now 49
11
Nick Pivetta
4064.20
now 24
12
Winshigher is better
Casey Mize
.0002.80
now 2
01
Nick Pivetta
.0002.80
now 1
01

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyCasey Mize — buy.conf 0.79
Hold · wait & seeNick Pivetta — hold.conf 0.50
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