MLB Daily DeltaWeek 13 · June 22, 2026
Portrait of Casey Mize
Casey Mize
DET · P
Change to
Portrait of Will Warren
Will Warren
NYY · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Casey Mize wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); Will Warren wins 2 (K, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Casey Mize
93.4
Will Warren
93.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Casey Mize
13.2%
Will Warren
9.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Casey Mize
25.2%
Will Warren
24.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Casey Mize
29.9%
Will Warren
28.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Casey Mize
35.7%
Will Warren
37.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Casey Mize
7.9%
Will Warren
6.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Casey Mize
.274
Will Warren
.302
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Casey Mize
24.31
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.27
3.04
Will Warren
24.31
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.22
3.73
WHIPlower is better
Casey Mize
.9001.43
now 0.97
1.20
Will Warren
.9001.43
now 1.20
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Casey Mize
40109.20
now 49
72
Will Warren
40109.20
now 70
92
Winshigher is better
Casey Mize
.00017.40
now 2
25
Will Warren
.00017.40
now 7
613

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighCasey Mize — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.83
BuyWill Warren — buy.conf 0.71
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