Rest of Season Projection
ChadCategoryHogan
59K ←51
3.71ERA →3.68
1.29WHIP →1.27
3–7W ←2–5
1–5SV →5–9
Current Season
ChadCategoryHogan
34K ←31
2.54ERA ←2.60
1.20WHIP ←1.59
3W ←2
2SV →4
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chad Patrick
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.271 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.74 is 1.20 above the ERA — regression coming
Hogan Harris
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.274 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.48 is 0.91 above the ERA — regression coming
Chad Patrick: 59 K / 3.71 ERA. Hogan Harris: 51 K / 3.68 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).