Rest of Season Projection
ChadCategoryJaden
50K ←36
4.19ERA →3.71
1.38WHIP →1.24
2–6W ←0–0
1–5SV ←0
Current Season
ChadCategoryJaden
34K ←23
2.54ERA ←3.43
1.20WHIP ←1.43
3W ←0
2SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chad Patrick
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.45 +0.35 vs league with no luck excuse
Jaden Hill
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.30 is right around league — a usable arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.333 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Chad Patrick: 50 K / 4.19 ERA. Jaden Hill: 36 K / 3.71 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).