MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 13, 2026
Portrait of Chad Patrick
Chad Patrick
MIL · P
Change to
Portrait of Nate Pearson
Nate Pearson
HOU · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Nate Pearson.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA, WHIP, and saves. Chad Patrick’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Nate Pearson wins 3 categories (ERA, WHIP, SV); Chad Patrick wins 2 (K, W).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chad Patrick
95.2
Nate Pearson
97.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chad Patrick
12.7%
Nate Pearson
10.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chad Patrick
20.5%
Nate Pearson
19.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chad Patrick
30.9%
Nate Pearson
29.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chad Patrick
38.3%
Nate Pearson
30.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chad Patrick
7.2%
Nate Pearson
7.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chad Patrick
.315
Nate Pearson
.325
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chad Patrick
25.57
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.54
3.98
Nate Pearson
25.57
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Chad Patrick
.9901.43
now 1.20
1.33
Nate Pearson
.9901.43
now 1.09
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chad Patrick
4046.80
now 34
33
Nate Pearson
4046.80
now 2
11
Winshigher is better
Chad Patrick
.0005.60
now 3
24
Nate Pearson
.0005.60
now 0
00
Saveshigher is better
Chad Patrick
.00012.20
now 2
13
Nate Pearson
.00012.20
now 1
29
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighChad Patrick — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.88
Hold · wait & seeNate Pearson — hold.conf 0.50
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