MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Chad Patrick
Chad Patrick
MIL · P
Change to
Portrait of Tyron Guerrero
Tyron Guerrero
BOS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Tyron Guerrero.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Chad Patrick’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Tyron Guerrero wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Chad Patrick wins 1 (W); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chad Patrick
95.6
Tyron Guerrero
100.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chad Patrick
12.5%
Tyron Guerrero
13.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chad Patrick
20.8%
Tyron Guerrero
22.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chad Patrick
29.8%
Tyron Guerrero
35.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chad Patrick
36.9%
Tyron Guerrero
33.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chad Patrick
6.0%
Tyron Guerrero
3.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chad Patrick
.313
Tyron Guerrero
.260
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chad Patrick
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.54
3.97
Tyron Guerrero
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.75
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Chad Patrick
1.081.62
now 1.20
1.35
Tyron Guerrero
1.081.62
now 1.50
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chad Patrick
4044.80
now 34
7
Tyron Guerrero
4044.80
now 9
7
Winshigher is better
Chad Patrick
.0004.20
now 3
01
Tyron Guerrero
.0004.20
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighChad Patrick — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
Buy LowTyron Guerrero — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.74
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