Rest of Season Projection
ChaseCategoryDavis
130K ←106
2.89ERA ←3.37
1.17WHIP →1.14
8–17W →9–19
0SV0
Current Season
ChaseCategoryDavis
72K ←71
1.96ERA ←2.00
0.96WHIP ←0.99
7W →8
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chase Burns
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.230 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.89 is 0.93 above the ERA — regression coming
Davis Martin
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (3.37)
Chase Burns: 130 K / 2.89 ERA vs Davis Martin: 106 K / 3.37 ERA. Burns outpaces in strikeouts and ratio. Sell-high verdict reflects expected regression; Martin holds.