Rest of Season Projection
ChaseCategoryWill
130K ←117
2.89ERA ←3.33
1.17WHIP ←1.23
8–17W8–17
0SV0
Current Season
ChaseCategoryWill
72K ←70
1.96ERA ←3.22
0.96WHIP ←1.20
7W7
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chase Burns
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.230 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.89 is 0.93 above the ERA — regression coming
Will Warren
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 3.33, 0.77 below league — production is earned
Burns leads in K (130 to 117) and ERA (2.89 to 3.33), but the sell-high verdict signals fading production; Warren is the buy call.