Rest of Season Projection
ChaseCategoryNathan
7HR →9
30R →31
44RBI ←31
3SB →7
.262AVG ←.239
Current Season
ChaseCategoryNathan
7HR ←5
22R ←18
32RBI ←18
2SB →4
.268AVG ←.260
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chase DeLauter
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.337, +0.022 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Nathan Church
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.287 below league with no luck excuse
Chase DeLauter: 7 HR / 30 R. Nathan Church: 9 HR / 31 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).