Rest of Season Projection
ChaseCategoryEdouard
5HR →10
55R ←33
28RBI ←23
2SB →8
.230AVG →.243
Current Season
ChaseCategoryEdouard
5HR ←2
36R ←17
18RBI ←12
1SB →4
.269AVG ←.204
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chase Meidroth
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.342 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.297 is 0.034 below the surface — regression coming
Edouard Julien
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.330, +0.015 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Chase Meidroth: 5 HR / 55 R. Edouard Julien: 10 HR / 33 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).