MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 30, 2026
Chase Petty
CIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Lucas Giolito
Lucas Giolito
SD · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 0–0, 4 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Chase Petty wins 0 (none); Lucas Giolito wins 0 (none); 4 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chase Petty
96.9
Lucas Giolito
90.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chase Petty
9.4%
Lucas Giolito
9.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chase Petty
10.8%
Lucas Giolito
13.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chase Petty
27.9%
Lucas Giolito
19.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chase Petty
37.5%
Lucas Giolito
43.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chase Petty
8.9%
Lucas Giolito
4.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chase Petty
.361
Lucas Giolito
.358
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chase Petty
3.207.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.35
4.10
Lucas Giolito
3.207.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.97
4.10
WHIPlower is better
Chase Petty
1.041.94
now 1.24
1.30
Lucas Giolito
1.041.94
now 1.74
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chase Petty
4011.60
now 2
0
Lucas Giolito
4011.60
now 6
0
Winshigher is better
Chase Petty
.0002.80
now 0
0–0
Lucas Giolito
.0002.80
now 2
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighChase Petty — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.91
Hold · wait & seeLucas Giolito — hold.conf 0.50
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