MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Chase Shugart
Chase Shugart
PHI · P
Change to
Elvis Alvarado
ATH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 00, 4 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Chase Shugart wins 0 (none); Elvis Alvarado wins 0 (none); 4 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chase Shugart
96.1
Elvis Alvarado
98.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chase Shugart
9.9%
Elvis Alvarado
16.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chase Shugart
27.8%
Elvis Alvarado
28.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chase Shugart
25.4%
Elvis Alvarado
29.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chase Shugart
34.7%
Elvis Alvarado
48.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chase Shugart
11.0%
Elvis Alvarado
14.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chase Shugart
.307
Elvis Alvarado
.327
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chase Shugart
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.33
3.70
Elvis Alvarado
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.38
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Chase Shugart
.9002.23
now 0.93
1.24
Elvis Alvarado
.9002.23
now 1.86
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chase Shugart
4026.40
now 20
4
Elvis Alvarado
4026.40
now 9
4
Winshigher is better
Chase Shugart
.0002.80
now 2
01
Elvis Alvarado
.0002.80
now 2
01

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeChase Shugart — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeElvis Alvarado — hold.conf 0.50
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