MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 12, 2026
Portrait of Chase Shugart
Chase Shugart
PHI · P
Change to
Mike Paredes
MIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Chase Shugart wins 1 (W); Mike Paredes wins 1 (K); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chase Shugart
96.1
Mike Paredes
93.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chase Shugart
9.5%
Mike Paredes
10.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chase Shugart
27.2%
Mike Paredes
11.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chase Shugart
25.8%
Mike Paredes
28.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chase Shugart
39.0%
Mike Paredes
50.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chase Shugart
11.7%
Mike Paredes
7.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chase Shugart
.337
Mike Paredes
.348
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chase Shugart
24.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.33
3.70
Mike Paredes
24.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.45
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Chase Shugart
.9001.53
now 0.93
1.24
Mike Paredes
.9001.53
now 1.36
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chase Shugart
4053.40
now 20
21
Mike Paredes
4053.40
now 3
39
Winshigher is better
Chase Shugart
.0005.60
now 2
14
Mike Paredes
.0005.60
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeChase Shugart — hold.conf 0.50
Sell HighMike Paredes — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.78
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