Rest of Season Projection
ChaseCategoryOrlando
31K ←25
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
1–2W ←0–0
0SV →2–7
Current Season
ChaseCategoryOrlando
20K ←12
1.74ERA →1.72
1.40WHIP →0.89
1W ←0
0SV →2
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chase Silseth
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.267 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.83 is 1.93 above the ERA — regression coming
Orlando Ribalta
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.196 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.73 is 0.87 above the ERA — regression coming
Chase Silseth: 33 K / 3.70 ERA. Orlando Ribalta: 26 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).