Rest of Season Projection
ChrisCategoryJacob
82K →163
4.46ERA →2.19
1.45WHIP →0.98
5–11W →6–13
0SV0
Current Season
ChrisCategoryJacob
36K →108
5.06ERA →1.65
1.58WHIP →0.79
4W →6
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chris Bassitt
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.335 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Jacob Misiorowski
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.243 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.19 is 0.54 above the ERA — regression coming
Chris Bassitt: 82 K / 4.46 ERA. Jacob Misiorowski: 163 K / 2.19 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).