MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 18, 2026
Portrait of Chris Martin
Chris Martin
TEX · P
Change to
Portrait of Nate Pearson
Nate Pearson
HOU · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Chris Martin.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and wins. Nate Pearson’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Chris Martin wins 2 categories (K, W); Nate Pearson wins 1 (SV); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chris Martin
94.5
Nate Pearson
97.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chris Martin
8.5%
Nate Pearson
10.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chris Martin
13.6%
Nate Pearson
19.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chris Martin
32.2%
Nate Pearson
29.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chris Martin
44.4%
Nate Pearson
30.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chris Martin
11.1%
Nate Pearson
7.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chris Martin
.408
Nate Pearson
.325
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chris Martin
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 7.84
3.70
Nate Pearson
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Chris Martin
.9002.28
now 1.94
1.24
Nate Pearson
.9002.28
now 1.09
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chris Martin
4025.80
now 7
19
Nate Pearson
4025.80
now 2
10
Winshigher is better
Chris Martin
.0004.20
now 1
13
Nate Pearson
.0004.20
now 0
00
Saveshigher is better
Chris Martin
.00011.20
now 0
0
Nate Pearson
.00011.20
now 1
28
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeChris Martin — hold.conf 0.55
Hold · wait & seeNate Pearson — hold.conf 0.50
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