MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 9, 2026
Portrait of Gordon Graceffo
Gordon Graceffo
STL · P
Change to
Portrait of Nate Pearson
Nate Pearson
HOU · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Nate Pearson.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA, WHIP, and saves. Gordon Graceffo’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Nate Pearson wins 3 categories (ERA, WHIP, SV); Gordon Graceffo wins 2 (K, W).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Gordon Graceffo
95.6
Nate Pearson
97.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Gordon Graceffo
7.0%
Nate Pearson
11.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Gordon Graceffo
11.7%
Nate Pearson
18.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Gordon Graceffo
24.0%
Nate Pearson
28.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Gordon Graceffo
48.1%
Nate Pearson
32.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Gordon Graceffo
12.4%
Nate Pearson
7.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Gordon Graceffo
.376
Nate Pearson
.332
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Gordon Graceffo
25.50
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.80
3.93
Nate Pearson
25.50
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Gordon Graceffo
.9001.42
now 0.90
1.27
Nate Pearson
.9001.42
now 1.09
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Gordon Graceffo
4021.60
now 14
16
Nate Pearson
4021.60
now 2
12
Winshigher is better
Gordon Graceffo
.0007
now 4
25
Nate Pearson
.0007
now 0
00
Saveshigher is better
Gordon Graceffo
.00012.60
now 1
02
Nate Pearson
.00012.60
now 1
29
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighGordon Graceffo — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
Hold · wait & seeNate Pearson — hold.conf 0.50
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