MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 16, 2026
Chris Murphy
CWS · P
Change to
Portrait of Richard Lovelady
Richard Lovelady
WSH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Chris Murphy.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA, WHIP, and wins. Richard Lovelady’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Chris Murphy wins 3 categories (ERA, WHIP, W); Richard Lovelady wins 2 (K, SV).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chris Murphy
96.3
Richard Lovelady
91.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chris Murphy
16.3%
Richard Lovelady
10.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chris Murphy
21.4%
Richard Lovelady
18.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chris Murphy
29.2%
Richard Lovelady
29.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chris Murphy
34.9%
Richard Lovelady
32.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chris Murphy
7.9%
Richard Lovelady
6.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chris Murphy
.304
Richard Lovelady
.361
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chris Murphy
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.59
3.70
Richard Lovelady
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.38
3.77
WHIPlower is better
Chris Murphy
.9002.55
now 2.32
1.24
Richard Lovelady
.9002.55
now 1.75
1.26

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chris Murphy
4027
now 6
15
Richard Lovelady
4027
now 21
21
Winshigher is better
Chris Murphy
.0005.20
now 1
14
Richard Lovelady
.0005.20
now 2
13
Saveshigher is better
Chris Murphy
.0006.60
now 1
15
Richard Lovelady
.0006.60
now 4
35
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeChris Murphy — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeRichard Lovelady — hold.conf 0.50
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