Rest of Season Projection
ChristianCategoryConnor
4HR →5
23R →27
39RBI ←34
0SB →3
.204AVG →.228
Current Season
ChristianCategoryConnor
4HR ←0
10R ←8
17RBI ←10
0SB →1
.246AVG →.258
What Each Player's System Trusts
Christian Vázquez
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.261)
Connor Wong
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.347 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.286 is 0.038 below the surface — regression coming
Christian Vázquez: 4 HR / 23 R. Connor Wong: 5 HR / 27 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).