Rest of Season Projection
ConnorCategoryJ.T.
5HR →9
27R ←24
34RBI ←19
3SB ←2
.228AVG →.249
Current Season
ConnorCategoryJ.T.
0HR →2
8R →11
10RBI ←9
1SB1
.258AVG ←.220
What Each Player's System Trusts
Connor Wong
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.347 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.286 is 0.038 below the surface — regression coming
J.T. Realmuto
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.306)
Connor Wong: 5 HR / 27 R. J.T. Realmuto: 9 HR / 24 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).