Rest of Season Projection
AustinCategoryConnor
1HR →5
35R ←27
18RBI →34
3SB3
.226AVG →.228
Current Season
AustinCategoryConnor
1HR ←0
12R ←8
6RBI →10
1SB1
.244AVG →.258
What Each Player's System Trusts
Austin Hedges
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.274)
Connor Wong
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.347 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.286 is 0.038 below the surface — regression coming
Austin Hedges: 1 HR / 35 R. Connor Wong: 5 HR / 27 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).