Rest of Season Projection
ChristianCategoryYandy
8HR →13
53R ←48
45RBI →59
8SB ←2
.210AVG →.282
Current Season
ChristianCategoryYandy
4HR →11
21R →31
18RBI →38
3SB ←1
.275AVG →.317
What Each Player's System Trusts
Christian Yelich
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.389 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.292 is 0.064 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Yandy Díaz
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.374, +0.059 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Christian Yelich: 8 HR / 53 R. Yandy Díaz: 13 HR / 48 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).