Rest of Season Projection
ClayCategoryJacob
81K →148
3.78ERA →2.25
1.33WHIP →1.01
5–10W →5–12
0SV0
Current Season
ClayCategoryJacob
45K →108
2.39ERA →1.65
1.10WHIP →0.79
4W →6
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Clay Holmes
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.252 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.78 is 1.39 above the ERA — regression coming
Jacob Misiorowski
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.242 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.25 is 0.75 above the ERA — regression coming
Clay Holmes: 82 K / 3.77 ERA. Jacob Misiorowski: 150 K / 2.25 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).