MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Clay Holmes
CHC · P
Change to
Matt Waldron
WSH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

Clay Holmes wins 1 (ERA); Matt Waldron wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Clay Holmes
92.9
Matt Waldron
92.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Clay Holmes
9.9%
Matt Waldron
8.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Clay Holmes
18.6%
Matt Waldron
17.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Clay Holmes
32.8%
Matt Waldron
31.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Clay Holmes
40.5%
Matt Waldron
36.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Clay Holmes
4.4%
Matt Waldron
5.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Clay Holmes
.303
Matt Waldron
.291
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Clay Holmes
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.39
3.86
Matt Waldron
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.49
4.08
WHIPlower is better
Clay Holmes
.9001.95
now 1.10
1.38
Matt Waldron
.9001.95
now 1.71
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Clay Holmes
4063
now 45
0
Matt Waldron
4063
now 22
0
Winshigher is better
Clay Holmes
.0005.60
now 4
0–0
Matt Waldron
.0005.60
now 1
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighClay Holmes — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.88
Buy LowMatt Waldron — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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