Rest of Season Projection
ColeCategoryMark
33K →35
3.70ERA ←3.72
1.24WHIP1.24
2–5W ←0–0
1–3SV →4–7
Current Season
ColeCategoryMark
23K →25
5.40ERA ←5.47
1.45WHIP ←1.46
2W ←0
1SV →4
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cole Winn
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.57)
Mark Leiter Jr.
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.12 is right around league — a usable arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.354 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Cole Winn: 33 K / 3.70 ERA. Mark Leiter Jr.: 35 K / 3.72 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).