Rest of Season Projection
ColeCategoryLuis
8HR ←1
42R →44
48RBI ←35
3SB →8
.256AVG →.296
Current Season
ColeCategoryLuis
4HR ←2
26R →29
30RBI ←23
2SB →5
.250AVG →.321
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cole Young
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.328)
Luis Arraez
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.324 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.310 is 0.038 below the surface — regression coming
Cole Young: 8 HR / 42 R. Luis Arraez: 1 HR / 44 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).