Rest of Season Projection
ColinCategoryIan
35K →50
3.69ERA ←3.72
1.24WHIP ←1.26
3–8W ←2–7
0SV →1–5
Current Season
ColinCategoryIan
23K →32
2.14ERA ←4.66
0.81WHIP ←1.28
3W3
0SV →2
What Each Player's System Trusts
Colin Holderman
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.208 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.68 is 0.72 above the ERA — regression coming
Ian Seymour
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.90)
Colin Holderman: 35 K / 3.69 ERA. Ian Seymour: 50 K / 3.72 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).