Who's more valuable, rest of season
Luis Castillo.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Colin Rea’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
K
▶
ERA
▶
WHIP
▶
◀
W
SV n/a
Luis Castillo wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Colin Rea wins 1 (W); SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Colin Rea
93.7
Luis Castillo
95.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Colin Rea
9.4%
Luis Castillo
12.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Colin Rea
17.1%
Luis Castillo
19.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Colin Rea
30.4%
Luis Castillo
32.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Colin Rea
40.4%
Luis Castillo
41.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Colin Rea
10.4%
Luis Castillo
9.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Colin Rea
.357
Luis Castillo
.337
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Colin Rea
4.195.91
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.70
5.02
Luis Castillo
4.195.91
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.53
4.57
WHIPlower is better
Colin Rea
1.271.52
now 1.37
1.39
Luis Castillo
1.271.52
now 1.45
1.34
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Colin Rea
4064
now 49
36
Luis Castillo
4064
now 56
46
Winshigher is better
Colin Rea
.0006.60
now 5
2–5
Luis Castillo
.0006.60
now 2
1–2
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
SellColin Rea — sell.conf 0.90
SellLuis Castillo — sell.conf 0.77