Rest of Season Projection
ColinCategoryRobbie
77K →99
5.24ERA →4.78
1.39WHIP ←1.42
5–11W ←3–6
0SV0
Current Season
ColinCategoryRobbie
49K →59
4.70ERA →4.45
1.37WHIP ←1.40
5W ←3
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Colin Rea
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.86 +1.76 vs league with no luck excuse
Robbie Ray
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.265 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 5.15 is 0.73 above the ERA — regression coming
Colin Rea: 77 K / 5.24 ERA. Robbie Ray: 99 K / 4.78 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).